miércoles, 19 de octubre de 2016

Trump vs. Clinton debate. Maybe I just help to choose the president of the United States

I actually didn´t see the whole debate. But a fair part of it, I have to say it


Hillary Clinton won, won big, maybe even big enough to break the famous glass ceiling.
If you read the previous entry of this blog, you will see how I actually give advice to both candidates previous to debate. Hillary followed it so precisely like if my blog were read not by one of her 800 staffers but by Hillary Clinton herself.


Do you dear reader think I’m joking? Let’s see this by points.


Moderators surprisingly fair: In the previous debates you can actually feel they were somehow a bit in Clinton´s camp, they interrupt more Trump, ask more aggressive questions to Trump, etc. Now they were well fair, I spend so much time, talking about the realities of the feelings of a rigged election, and at least in the mechanics of the debate we don´t see a good case here for Trump


Boring Hillary: Hillary doesn´t limit herself to just being presidential, she was boring just as I tell her, so boring that actually Trump usual aggressiveness goes against him by attacking someone who wasn´t looking for a fight. Also being boring help her body language keeping her relaxed in the debate, regaining the advantage of looking more comfortable with the experience of debating than Trump.


More acknowledgeable Hillary: I and only I am the only in whole media and independent media who say Hillary´s greatest weakness was that we actually don´t know too much about her. Well she respond not only telling us her whole biography in the debate (I bet any scholar in USA expect to its test get a question about Hillary), she actually talk about policy more than ever before, finally explaining us (I guess) her tax plan and how its go to work, and even took time to defend the Clinton Foundation, what more I can say. Trump focus like in second debate of making clear his positions about the issues, reinforcing his strategy, but the advantage he had in this topics from second debate was drastically cut off.

Let´s make this clear, Trump actually defend himself quite well, especially about the tapes, somehow defend his strongholds in immigration and foreign policy and actually present quite well the whole thing of the WikiLeaks and the Hillary´s taking money from foreign power. But Hillary has some defenses prepared to this like for example Bernie Sanders it’s actually her supporter. In fact his biggest problem was he doesn´t get a KO punch on Hillary, while she looked more presidential and honestly sounds lots better than him.


Is the election over? Who knows, the core supporters of both still remain quite active, actually Trump defense on the tapes thing can actually help his presidential options, he know what he is selling, and stick religiously to that. Even losing the debate he can still win, like losing the battle but winning the war. After all Hillary has doing quite well in the polls after second debate which she lost by a far margin.


My main duty as blogger and human it’s to check if the glass ceiling actually it’s broke, or if it’s actually tougher than we expected like a wood or a metal ceiling.

Trump vs Clinton third debate. ADVICE FOR TRUMP AND CLINTON

Trump vs. Clinton third debate. ADVICE FOR TRUMP AND CLINTON


We are now in the very finals of the presidential race, an unshackled Trump fight for survive (in and after against well, Hillary Clinton, irony is that even being her the most famous woman in history of politics (even more than Cleopatra or Josephine), we actually doesn´t know too much about her, her friends, her beliefs or her policies. We cannot even acknowledge who are actually her friends or how good or bad are her relationships in the Democratic Party (With Trump all that it’s quite obvious)



But now it’s time to honor my word and maybe prevent Miss Clinton from the following ravaging that would other case be a sure thing.
Somehow my advice from my previous entry to Hillary. Looks like it reached her, if you dear reader think about it its actually quite likeable, she has over 800 staffers what more will they do rather than check oncoming writing pieces like mine?. I tell her about just focus on personal attacks completely avoiding policy talk. She has done exactly that and its resulting quite well, she keeps a decent leading margin over Trump.


But now she has troubles.

You see, she lost, she lost badly the second debate, that means, that even the most competent and prepared woman in mankind history, with all MSM in her side, with the moderators in her side (What the hell was doing Martha refuting Trump any case), with his opponent being abandoned by his “allies” in the republican party, and facing the hardest hit against his campaign yet just fail to beat the big guy of this generation. And that tear readers it’s big.

The glass ceiling will just break if Hillary gets a convincing victory, instead she gets a convincing defeat, and even if it’s actually Trump who must defend the still inviolable gates of male supremacy, and Hillary who is in the offense, her defeat has consequences.


1)    She is not worthy: After her defeat all the “super male”, “deplorable” Trump base, get the confirmation of their beliefs. In their minds the ultimate battle of sexes just happened and the man again win. They will just keep politically mobilized after election (breaking one of the oldest conservative traditions), some of them even consider not recognize Hillary´s victory,(if it happens)

The deplorable are one thing, but actually its slowly getting deep in American minds that if you take all ideas and the personality out Trump it’s just the better man for the job. And that perhaps the media shows too much enthusiasm for a candidate who prove is a bit unqualified for the job, which actually encourage the successful rumor that election can be rigged.


      2)    Election rigged:  That a candidate for presidency says that election can be stolen from him, it’s one of the only things that should actually horror MSM, after all a man can say what he want and brag all about he want about his success or behavior with woman, but unless he gets actually sued.  Attacking the fairness of your own political system its really huge, the normal response here it would have been terror from media just combined with a willing determination to show a consistent and irrefutable number of proofs that show how fair the system actually is.  The extremely polite response from media to this allegations, it feels like they actually want to avoid talking about the fairness of the election. Even from Hillary´s campaign prefer to focus on the tapes.

The result of this is that a decent number of Americans (WikiLeaks emails helps too) believe the election it’s rigged, all of these help to build ground for Trump to avoid recognizing Hillary´s victory (if it happens)

I will repeat my prediction for debate one (which one was quite accurate) Hillary will go for the killing. She doesn’t need it, she just need to keep presidential, have the most boring possible debate and even using the woman card to force Trump to soft himself up to win the election, avoiding defeat it would be a huge victory for Hillary Clinton.
But she will not do that, she will go for the kill, she doesn´t need it, and she wants it.
Honestly the pre debate doesn´t look good for MRS Clinton.


     1)    War with RUSSIA: I know, perhaps the most stupid rumor ever, but Russia has come so much from Mrs. Clinton campaign counting also the Obama cyber-attack or cyber war on Russia, that now it’s like if we don´t vote for Donald Trump we will have the third world war with Russia just for avenging Mrs. Clinton from an offense which she can’t actually proof anyway its fault of Russia (WikiLeaks). Don´t misunderstand me I don´t know if America can beat Russia in a world war, or if war its good or not, but the problem her it’s that America cannot actually go to war with Russia, both have nuclear power, so inevitably, after all the possible trash talk from democrats to Putin, they will have to back from their words and came back with the tail between their legs. So this has actually two sides, those who really fear war now will have to vote Trump despite their own ideological conviction (Trump actually made moves quickly, trying to guarantee good relationships with Russia), and those who just want to avoid another humiliation for their country (After Ukraine and Syria) will also have to vote for the guy who just put himself (and not his whole country) in trouble while talking,

     2)  Election being rigged: I know I’m repeating myself, but it’s important to Mrs. Clinton that moderators keep their mouth shut. The old tactic of inviting one conservative to a panel with 10 liberals while all of the m(including moderator) just bury the guy with their overwhelming numbers, won´t work neither on Trump on the alt right itself. Any favorability to Clinton in the debate would just made more the case for Trump and after all, is it anything more American than rebellion against a perceived unfair system?


Advice for Clinton debate


     1)  Be boring: That nothing important happen in the 90 minutes means she gets the presidency, yeah you will lost the chance of break the glass ceiling, but you can leave the mission to the next generation and just limit yourself to take the price.

     2)    Keep racial: In first debate was evident Trump cannot go on offense on racial issues, he just spend time giving explanation trying to convince the audience he is not racist. The more time passes, more chances she has of winning the election .

     3)    Talk policy: I know, I talk to just focus on personal attacks, it worked, now listen me again, you got the reputation of being the most qualified person ever for the job, but it’s time to actually prove that. Being schooled by Trump in policy it’s awful for you.  And just keeping in boring statics also helps you to make more time pass.



I consider myself a democratic man, so here it’s also advice for Trump.
Advice for Trump debate.


     1)    Go for the killing: For some reason being presidential sucks for you, every time you act presidential you just drop in the polls. The entire world its waiting for Trump show. We would gladly appreciate if you delivered.


     2)    Expose Hillary’s void: Donald has a huge advantage for the debate. We know him, we know he likes grab woman by the pussy (yeah, we actually didn´t need to know that), he is going to build a wall, make Mexico pay for it, ban Muslims, compete with China (or GGHINAA?), get along well with Russia, and focus more in American economy and takes and exploit ISIS oil. We don´t know anything about Hillary, except she is a feminist, and have fought all her life to guarantee woman rights and that she will exert some retaliation on Putin, retaliation who comes from vigorous screaming to even a nuclear war. We don´t actually know about her tax policy (we know she somehow plans to raise taxes but we don´t know who actually are going to pay those taxes, her donors? the middle class?), or about her foreign policy, how compromised is she actually on fighting ISIS? How many money has she taken from Saudi Arabia? What plans has she for South America?

Usually have a deep, spacious void in the policy it’s good for a candidate, because every voter can fill the void with their own fantasies and hopes, but people in general hates uncertainty. So you can just bring some innovation to the quite old field of politics practices and denounce Hillary´s void,    making the case that no voter actually knows her. (The “two face” email helps for building the case)They really know you, so they probably will vote towards you if the other person is a complete strange,



lunes, 17 de octubre de 2016

Elecciones para alcalde en Chile, Que va a pasar? Ademas de que casi nadie vote (obvio)

A pesar de que soy chileno, es raro que escriba sobre Chile, la verdad lo encuentro aburrido, pero en Chile también va a haber elecciones, ahí va mi predicción de que va a pasar.



La nueva mayoría va a arrasar en las elecciones municipales.


Difícil ser exagerado aquí, la derecha ya está en la lucha por comunas como Providencia, que han sido un bastión histórico de la derecha desde que tengo memoria y hasta que el ex coronel Cristian Labbé fue derrotado por la ex dirigente Josefa Errázuriz, Labbé se condenó a si mismo al señalar que votando a Errázuriz era como cambiar a un gerente por una ama de casa. Al final parece que tenía razón, no están muy contento con el manejo de la señora Errázuriz en Providencia, pero claro, en Chile el malestar económico y el empeoramiento de la calidad de vida, es un pequeño precio a pagar por poner en su lugar a los deslenguados.


La nueva candidata Evelyn Matthei planea seguir los pasos del ex alcalde y con su idea de los mimos ha hecho desde ya una contribución significativa a su derrota.


La situación no se ve mejor para la derecha en Santiago Centro, todo augura una victoria de la actual alcaldesa Carolina Tohá, la verdad yo no la veo perdiendo una elección.

Esta crónica de una muerte anunciada tiene varias fuentes, fuentes que además van a persistir por un doloroso periodo de tiempo, especialmente doloroso para esa colectividad.


Guerra Civil: Ya no es secreto para nadie que la vieja guardia del partido está en una guerra jamás declarada contra Sebastián Piñera. Piñera quiere convertir a la derecha en algo parecido a lo que está logrando el partido demócrata en EEUU; un partido muy laico, liberal en lo moral y con un fuerte enfoque en el libre mercado. La vieja derecha es ante todo católica y conservadora, les gusta el libre mercado pero de ninguna manera transarían su catolicismo.

Piñera tiene la ligera ventaja que las instituciones internacionales son laicas y bastante interesadas en una agenda como la que propone Piñera, no obstante el proyecto de la derecha tradicional está más enraizado en los sectores conservadores de la sociedad, este aparente empate esta frecuentemente desangrando a la colectividad y mermando sus posibilidades de organización.



No más AFP: Los que van moviendo la aguja izquierda-derecha son los movimientos sociales que se vayan generando. En USA hay cierto equilibrio entre movimientos de izquierda como BLACK LIVES MATTER  y  de derecha como la ALT RIGHT. En Chile todos los movimientos relevantes son derechamente comunistas o al menos progresistas. (Me alegra comunicar para dicha de MEO  que después de tanto tiempo siguiendo la campaña de USA al fin entiendo lo que es el progresismo). Este predominio ideológico favorece enormemente a la nueva mayoría. Venezuela ha demostrado como un mini holocausto económico es sostenible políticamente en el tiempo mientras la batalla de las ideas siga ganada.

Deliberadamente omití el nombre del movimiento en cuestión, ya que la verdad es irrelevante, podría haber sido “QUEREMOS MAS BONOS MARZO” o “QUEREMOS 300000 DE SUELDO MINIMO” O “NO MAS ISAPRES”, lo que importa es que es un movimiento de izquierda el que está copando la agenda política.



Una mala derecha: Trump. Farage, Johnson vienen de lugares muy distintos, y además de sus ideas nacionalistas tienen una cosa en común que es que pueden comunicarse con sus votantes. Incluso un billonario como Trump es capaz de bajarse un poco del 30 piso de su torre para hablar de igual a igual con sus votantes. Romney no podía, por eso perdió.
Es más común de lo que debiera ser el que exista un desprecio por parte de los que tienen dinero hacia los que no lo tienen, ahora este es un país libre y todo eso, pero es muy mala idea despreciar o mirar en menos a tu electorado si es que esperas que te voten.
La derecha cargado ha cargado desde hace tiempo el estigma de ser una alianza elitista, y dado que siguen perdiendo elecciones es evidente que siguen cargándolo.


Así que querido lector, si simpatizas con la nueva mayoría deberías estar muy alegre, si no, animo, quizás vengan tiempos mejores.

jueves, 13 de octubre de 2016

The New York Times and hoaxing media will actually be more successful if they are honest.



If the editorial of a liberal paper (best option is New York Times), just say something like:


“We hate Donald Trump, no because he is unfit, we cannot care less about that, we simply hate him, he off place he should be in a comedy show not running for president, come on, he doesn´t look like a politician, he doesn´t do the things politicians do, he in fact talk about it in a way all people understands him,  THAT ITS OUR JOB, we are the  ones who tell the people about the world, not you, how you dare to talk them directly without passing our filter? In fact, how you dare to make them think than they can understand the world by their own? That they are not crazy, that the so “made in China” affects their jobs? That white race looks and feel itself in danger of extinction?


Yeah it’s all about you getting in our business, and your bunch of trolls multiplicating while we lost more and more readers. Rich, poor, good, evil, man, woman, wake up America, it always been the same, rich are in charge,  its not Hillary´s fault and we seriously doubt this guy will do something to change that.
So  yes, we will say whatever we need to say to beat him, we will do whatever its needed to do, you Donald think you can stomp political correctness, well WE ARE POLITICAL CORRECTNESS and we will crush you.”


THE END.


This is the deal, the lying media, tell us recurring to some kind of moral authority we all know the lack (yes, this also includes liberals and even communist), trying to embrace an intellectuality we also know they lack and finally trying to summon the noblest feelings and aspirations of mankind which especially and absolutely all of us know they lack to disqualify the guy.


Even we in Chile has try of media hoax on an independent candidate called Franco Parisi, you can say it works, he doesn´t won, but he still get like 10% of the vote (this guy cannot even self fund his campaign) and that its quite good. So yes, in our not so educated country where we mostly still speak only Spanish, this kind of media hoax only have a limited effect, and in America, media is just destroying itself, people don’t believe them and the best example of that is that actually more people believes in Donald Trump and maybe even in Hillary Clinton more than in media.

If media were just honest about their hate, well maybe been openly hateful will make them at least a bit less boring, and their readers will at least get to the end of their lame article. (I get that achievement (of reading the full articles) in Breitbart, Danger and play, and sometimes in the Huffington Post). Donald Trump itself demonstrate that authenticity trumps everything (Hillary is authentic being unauthentic, that it’s a middle in the road).

Farage lost like 7 times but won in Brexit, Le pen like 5, but now it’s the front runner to be president of France. Is really smart for media destroy themselves just for ensure Hillary´s victory? (our political right who destroy Parisi are now themselves destroyed with a complete loss of the cities and of the congress)


Maybe their own fears and just plain cowardice will actually ensures Trumps victory (maybe even more than his “deplorable” base.

domingo, 9 de octubre de 2016

Trump ravages Hillary Clinton,if just my relevant advice would have get her in time.

I somehow know it, after all if was a bit of obvious, so much scandals about Trump taxes, and the tax returns, and the taxes again, and then you know, there was there right on stage someone who have actual participation in the making of the laws, as a senator, as a secretary of state, and even as a first lady. I somehow knew that talking so much about his takes leaves Hillary completely exposed to the most obvious counter possible. It was like


-You cheat on takes
-Yes I did, by using the laws you did.


Yes I knew it, I just, don´t put it on paper, or online. And that it’s so sad. After all I´m from Chile, if I just put it in my blog on time. There would at least one voice telling Ms. Clinton campaign about the bomb coming to her, the bomb that actually caught her more in surprise than the iceberg to the titanic. Maybe the media who are so much in love with Hillary, could actually, stay a way for a few seconds from that love and actually advise her about the weaknesses in her strategy. Or I could start to cover the election in Spanish (that probably would increase the probability of this blog being read by her), maybe if I just put things on time for the next one I would be of some help to elect the first female president of the United States.


How bad was this for Hillary?


Well........ terrible



I actually told you dear reader that, Hillary was actually looking for something maybe more important than the presidency, the chance of breaking once and for all the famous glass ceiling, all she has to do was beating decisively at the guy that many don´t like him, but most respect, what I called the modern Julius Caesar.  Yes, there has been more woman in presidency, but all of them with no exception won by being the candidate of the most powerful party combined with an incredibly weak and disorganized competition, they were weak as individual and also as a party, Hillary Clinton would be the first woman who actually have to fight against this level of a competition.
The first debate was a bit unclear, media says Hillary, twitter and social media says Trump. But this one left no doubts.



This is the explanation



In my first blog, I actually made points of good for Trump and for Hillary, now I can´t, Hillary under performed her first debate.


Being presidential: The first debate Hillary show being more comfortable with the experience of debating, of course this in comparison with Trump, now that advantage somehow disappear, first of all, it wasn´t that she abstain of attacking Trump, she tried and fail, she didn´t get the angle to get a ko punch, and also he look a bit better, not so accelerated. He keeps using the space to make all people clear that he actually understands topics (that its actually more than the level of knowledge that voters expect from him), and why not say it, school the American people in the not so complicated world of foreign policy.


Stamina: Hillary definitively not make things easier by taking seat while Trump was talking. He was like the Duracell bunny moving frenetically one way to the other, and she ……, she just sits. If anyone it´s thinking in no voting for her because of her ill health (she at least got pneumonia), now after debate, the decision it’s even more clear.


Policy: Well if anybody thinks that policy its Mrs. Clinton “forte", here it’s my contribution to her campaign, Mrs. Clinton, if you read this, please, keep the things on the personal attacks.
Clinton won in looking like she knows more about policy, but Trump not only speaks about policy, he also explain how policy works, how policy is created, how policy change and actually why Mrs. Clinton doesn´t have change some points on policy like the tax advantages for the rich.
And this it’s huge, because some people like it, some people not, but at least we know Trump policy and what it’s about, we don´t know anything on Hillary´s policy. In fact we don´t know nothing even of her foreign policy except she plan to infuriatingly protest on Putin, scream and taunt him with the hope of making him back to his lair. And also that Hillary has not even circumstantial evidence that link Russia to WikiLeaks or the DNCLeaks, makes actually worst for her.



Personal Attacks: Well, all of us knew that this was go for the kill, a fight to the death (at least I put that on paper). If the “I prepared to be president” was the phrase of the first debate, the “you would be in jail” was the phrase of the second. As I said Hillary waste most of her ammunition in the first debate, she was a bit off of ammo now, and also she some kind of waste the tapes about Trump behavior. Even when the only thing we actually see was a very beautiful  woman picking up trump from the bus, and being herself quite excited in her presence, the things he said, well,…, people were talking about being this the end of his campaign, and she tried, but the chance just left her.

Conclusion: Trump won big, so big that maybe in the future the glass ceiling would be a wood or a brick ceiling. But Mrs. Clinton still has one chance to get what I’m sure it’s her true dream (not that thing about making some sort of European Union with Canada and Mexico). Hope this time I get off my bed and put the relevant things on paper for her.